Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.146209 0.156761 0.167818 0.180290 0.193993 0.208620 0.225455
2025-08-17 0.123843 0.139178 0.156264 0.176827 0.201047 0.228852 0.263450
2025-08-24 0.108894 0.126729 0.147543 0.173876 0.206655 0.246591 0.299672
2025-08-31 0.098003 0.117200 0.140434 0.171031 0.210886 0.261932 0.333760
2025-09-07 0.091369 0.111847 0.137426 0.172324 0.219667 0.283144 0.377376
2025-09-14 0.083629 0.104250 0.130651 0.167698 0.219635 0.291946 0.404232
2025-09-21 0.076406 0.096674 0.123155 0.161195 0.216023 0.294861 0.422186
2025-09-28 0.071204 0.091352 0.118182 0.157589 0.215916 0.302456 0.447755
2025-10-05 0.069067 0.089970 0.118400 0.161202 0.226483 0.326882 0.503262
2025-10-12 0.066769 0.088173 0.117841 0.163526 0.235158 0.349085 0.558071
2025-10-19 0.063821 0.085256 0.115447 0.162839 0.238944 0.363596 0.601226
2025-10-26 0.061215 0.082659 0.113322 0.162342 0.242879 0.378596 0.647315
2025-11-02 0.058375 0.079641 0.110491 0.160687 0.245017 0.391182 0.691822
2025-11-09 0.055064 0.075777 0.106195 0.156437 0.242474 0.395285 0.720327
2025-11-16 0.052356 0.072675 0.102883 0.153538 0.241987 0.403069 0.757902
2025-11-23 0.049955 0.069913 0.099931 0.151002 0.241868 0.411444 0.798153
2025-11-30 0.048569 0.068619 0.099183 0.152065 0.248250 0.433039 0.872419
2025-12-07 0.046187 0.065673 0.095650 0.148120 0.245018 0.434980 0.900232
2025-12-14 0.043627 0.062344 0.091348 0.142577 0.238334 0.429123 0.907723
2025-12-21 0.041743 0.060005 0.088544 0.139500 0.236123 0.432410 0.939306
2025-12-28 0.041216 0.059788 0.089194 0.142582 0.246118 0.462998 1.049815
2026-01-04 0.040500 0.059232 0.089241 0.144562 0.254083 0.490129 1.157653
2026-01-11 0.039346 0.057916 0.087945 0.143977 0.256754 0.505497 1.235020